Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000136 0.000152 0.000169 0.000188 0.000210 0.000233 0.000260
2025-08-24 0.000111 0.000132 0.000156 0.000184 0.000219 0.000258 0.000307
2025-08-31 0.000094 0.000118 0.000146 0.000183 0.000228 0.000284 0.000356
2025-09-07 0.000082 0.000107 0.000139 0.000182 0.000239 0.000310 0.000408
2025-09-14 0.000071 0.000098 0.000132 0.000180 0.000246 0.000333 0.000457
2025-09-21 0.000065 0.000092 0.000129 0.000183 0.000259 0.000364 0.000518
2025-09-28 0.000059 0.000087 0.000126 0.000184 0.000270 0.000392 0.000578
2025-10-05 0.000053 0.000081 0.000121 0.000183 0.000277 0.000414 0.000631
2025-10-12 0.000050 0.000078 0.000120 0.000187 0.000291 0.000449 0.000705
2025-10-19 0.000046 0.000074 0.000117 0.000187 0.000300 0.000475 0.000767
2025-10-26 0.000042 0.000070 0.000114 0.000187 0.000308 0.000500 0.000830
2025-11-02 0.000039 0.000066 0.000109 0.000185 0.000312 0.000519 0.000884
2025-11-09 0.000036 0.000063 0.000107 0.000186 0.000322 0.000550 0.000961
2025-11-16 0.000033 0.000059 0.000103 0.000184 0.000326 0.000570 0.001022
2025-11-23 0.000031 0.000056 0.000100 0.000183 0.000332 0.000595 0.001093
2025-11-30 0.000029 0.000054 0.000098 0.000183 0.000340 0.000623 0.001172
2025-12-07 0.000027 0.000051 0.000095 0.000181 0.000345 0.000645 0.001241
2025-12-14 0.000025 0.000050 0.000094 0.000184 0.000358 0.000683 0.001345
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000048 0.000093 0.000185 0.000367 0.000717 0.001441
2025-12-28 0.000022 0.000046 0.000091 0.000184 0.000373 0.000741 0.001521
2026-01-04 0.000022 0.000045 0.000091 0.000188 0.000388 0.000788 0.001650
2026-01-11 0.000020 0.000043 0.000089 0.000188 0.000397 0.000820 0.001752
2026-01-18 0.000019 0.000042 0.000087 0.000188 0.000404 0.000851 0.001853